wfn.org | [PCUSANEWS] 'Moral Values' tops voters' concerns, propels Bush

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Note #8558 from PCUSA NEWS to PRESBYNEWS:

04488
November 4, 2004

'Moral Values' tops voters' concerns, propels Bush

by Kevin Eckstrom
and Michele M. Melendez
Religion News Service

WASHINGTON - Forget Iraq. Forget terrorism. Forget the economy. The biggest
factor shaping people's votes Nov. 2 was the mother of all sleeper issues -
"moral values."

	In nationwide exit polls, one in five voters said moral values were
the most important issue in casting their votes, outpacing every other major
topic. Those "values" voters overwhelmingly went for President Bush over Sen.
John Kerry, 79 percent to 18 percent.

	The stronger-than-expected role of moral values signals that the
nation's values agenda is likely to be dominated by "social morality"
concerns for abortion, gay marriage and stem-cell research - issues vital to
Bush's base. The election also marks a defeat for progressive groups who
tried to cast "social justice" concerns of poverty, war and the environment
as moral issues.

	Either way, the Rev. Jim Wallis, a self-described progressive
evangelical, said neither blue states nor red states should try to claim a
corner on the values market.

	"The right wants to say these are the only moral values, the left
wants to say only our issues are moral values," said Wallis, convener of the
Washington-based Call to Renewal anti-poverty group. "The truth is there are
moral values across the spectrum."

	Just how did values become so important, especially in a race
dominated by terrorist threats at home and abroad? Wallis faulted the
Democrats for a self-inflicted wound on abortion. Kerry's party alienated
values-driven voters who could have been wooed by his domestic policies but
could not stomach his party's ardent support of abortion rights.

	In Ohio, for example, where moral values ranked second (behind the
economy), Kerry lost among Catholics 55 percent to 44 percent, which may have
been enough to swing the crucial state into Bush's column. Wallis said a
"more sensible, reasonable and centrist" policy on abortion could have helped
Kerry, especially within his own church.

	"There are millions of votes at stake in that Democratic mistake," he
said.

	Conservatives, meanwhile, say the winning formula was a simple one.
Bush's embrace of socially conservative values rallied his evangelical base,
who turned out in record force for him at the polls.

	Part of what got them there, at least in some states, were
constitutional amendments to ban gay marriage. Voters who did not favor legal
recognition for gay couples broke for Bush by a 2-1 ratio.

	"I can tell you this," said Tony Perkins, president of the
Washington-based Family Research Council, a conservative group. "It was the
values voter that ushered the president down the aisle for a second term."

	Values voters were not sequestered in Bush's solid red states. Ohio
was narrowly propelled into Bush's column by the 85 percent of voters who
ranked values as the second-most important issue. In Iowa, a sought-after
swing state, 87 percent of values voters went for Bush. And in Wisconsin,
where Kerry eked out a close win, 82 percent of those whose decision was
guided by moral values voted for President Bush.

	One reason why values may have emerged as so important is because
pollsters did not survey the topic four years ago. John Green, an expert on
religion and politics at the University of Akron, said "moral values" can
mean different things to different voters. But typically, "When ordinary
people think of morality, they think of traditional sexual morality. ... They
don't think of social justice."

	To be sure, other factors such as record-breaking voter registration
and anti-war sentiment drew voters to the polls. But if values-oriented
voters dominated the pack, Bush had a clear advantage because many of those
values are reinforced when those same voters pack churches on Sunday
mornings.

	According to the exit polls, Bush won handily among frequent
church-goers, and pulled even with Kerry among people who attend once a month
or less. Bush drew 60 percent of weekly attenders, compared to Kerry's 39
percent, while Kerry led Bush among non-church-goers, 64 percent to 34
percent.

	Bush drew 75 percent of white evangelicals, 58 percent of Protestants
and 24 percent of Jews, a slight rise from 2000. Kerry had 41 percent of
Protestants and 76 percent of Jews. The exit polls, conducted by Edison Media
Research and Mitofsky International for major media organizations, did not
include Muslim voters.

	Among the coveted Catholic vote, Bush held a slight edge nationally
over Kerry, 51 percent to 48 percent. Richard Land, president of the Southern
Baptists' Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission, said Kerry's arms-length
relationship with his church came back to haunt him.

	"Kerry said, 'I will have a secular government, I will not allow my
Catholic values to interfere with my public policy,'" Land said. "The
president said, 'I'm a man of faith and my faith will impact my public
policy' and ... the American people took Bush's vision over Kerry's."

	While Bush's values agenda seems mostly clear cut, the thornier
question is what lies ahead for two groups who struggled to employ religious
language to shape the values debate - Democrats and religious progressives.

	Green, for one, said the challenge for Kerry's party is to develop a
language of faith that appeals to values-minded voters. "One of the lessons
to the Democratic Party - they need to explore the social justice issues and
their connections to faith," Green said.

	Wallis, who pushed Kerry to talk more openly about how his faith
affects his policies, said it came as "too little, too late." He also said
the Democrats need to confront their own inner demons.

	"The secular fundamentalism of the left is as much a problem as the
religious fundamentalism of the right," he said.
(Adelle M. Banks, Itir Yakar and Wangui Njuguna contributed to this report.)

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